Blog
Lula vs Fl谩vio?
Polymarket flips toward the captain's son against a winded old lion. Welfare on credit vs growth on steroids.
Oracles and prediction engines: what BrainPredict borrows
Markets sometimes price emotion and word games in the UMA contract. BrainPredict publishes a fact-based fair value first, market-blind, then the gap.
Life is more like poker than chess
Thinking in Bets: separate decisions from outcomes, think in probabilities, and what PREDICT takes from it.
Odds formats: history and conversion on Polymarket
Fractional, decimal, American, Asian: historical origins and probability / odds conversion table.
How BrainPredict started
From tracking big wallets to a simple method: cross the facts, then ask whether the market price still makes sense.
Probabilities: Pascal, Fermat and Polymarket
From the 1654 dispute to Polymarket: reading price as probability, crowd wisdom and statistical edge.
Polymarket and VPN: access and good habits
Geographic restrictions, VPN role, and where to check official rules before trading.